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August 24, 2007


The Market consolidated yesterday on light volume and you could see more drift today. CFC turned out to be a great short as it went down all day.CFC is down $0.50 in early trade and could continue to drift lower as they have given away the store.
WFT, RIG, and GSF led the OIH higher and should be bought on any weakness this morning.
IBM was also very strong and can be bought on any early weakness.
Durable Goods orders were much better than expected but seem to have no effect on the futures.
Oct Crude can not seem to get above $70, so it should be a good short unless it trades above $70 for more than one hour.
Here are some of the news related trading ideas for today:
Gapping up on strong earnings/guidance: ASIA +5.4%, BKC +5.1%, ANN +2.9%... Other news: MENT +11.7% (after the close co clarified Q3 outlook information; stock was upgraded at Merrill this morning), ARNA +7.0% (profiled in Inside Wall Street - BusinessWeek Online), ACH +6.1% (multiple financial media outlets are highlighting a South China Morning Post story which said ACH expects price recovery as domestic output growth slows - see 8:40 comment), AYR +5.6% (positive Cramer comments), MT +4.0% (upgraded to Buy at Merrill), WFMI +2.7% & OATS +2.3% (Court denies FTC's request for stay pending appeal; WFMI and OATS legally cleared to proceed with merger), CCBL +3.9% (FBR made positive comments following yesterday's 19% sell-off after reporting earnings), MPEL +3.3% (initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank), RTP +2.9% (mentioned in Bloomberg.com story regarding ACH and aluminum prices).
Semtech: Expecting strong quarterly results on healthy PC and protection demand- Amtech (16.06 )
Blue Coat initiated with a Buy at Needham- tgt $90 (78.07 )
Countrywide: Judging by lenders' teasers, it's still subprime time - Washingtonpost.com (22.02 )
Blackstone says Senate Bill would cost firm $525 mln a year - Bloomberg.com (25.27 )
Merrill upgrades Nucor (NUE 51.53) and Steel Dynamics (STLD 41.28) to Buy from Neutral based on improving fundamentals in the steel market.
First Albany upgrades GameStop (GME 47.45) to Strong Buy from Buy and raises their tgt to $60 from $50, following Q207 revenue and EPS that exceeded firm and consensus estimates and strong Q307 guidance

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